Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 59.279722 67.486822 75.911549 85.171927 95.031951 105.186026 116.402832
2025-11-16 46.928747 58.654701 71.275794 85.728099 101.686764 118.651103 137.932270
2025-11-23 38.595838 52.027463 67.029770 84.733148 104.784435 126.554863 151.754283
2025-11-30 33.502163 48.292492 65.347459 85.975455 109.811566 136.112302 166.971014
2025-12-07 29.595928 45.426294 64.218840 87.443661 114.738729 145.259260 181.462818
2025-12-14 25.186947 41.449452 61.370631 86.546627 116.642866 150.737872 191.609906
2025-12-21 21.058655 37.385704 58.060076 84.785355 117.271623 154.537557 199.655977
2025-12-28 19.691209 36.822478 59.000631 88.090166 123.822946 165.130258 215.443780
2026-01-04 17.874778 35.448856 58.763916 89.826064 128.404842 173.359823 228.455403
2026-01-11 15.432844 32.936501 56.859444 89.321632 130.152800 178.163907 237.412090
2026-01-18 13.301222 30.651531 55.091635 88.855549 131.839987 182.812970 246.119625
2026-01-25 11.685114 28.980064 54.034896 89.208591 134.464184 188.524246 256.032385
2026-02-01 9.854736 26.776621 52.131326 88.394325 135.613831 192.481808 263.925432
2026-02-08 8.497968 25.197542 51.009931 88.542443 137.926109 197.816915 273.442917
2026-02-15 7.033026 23.214640 49.162652 87.606354 138.776247 201.308827 280.708141
2026-02-22 6.243382 22.374239 48.952114 88.857595 142.402317 208.181735 292.019074
2026-03-01 5.587399 21.702465 48.945978 90.355692 146.324990 215.407495 303.750667
2026-03-08 4.531474 20.023707 47.269472 89.441550 147.047721 218.633095 310.615874
2026-03-15 3.471392 18.086903 45.043661 87.647527 146.538036 220.268319 315.504448
2026-03-22 3.351570 18.355084 46.411722 91.013702 152.868111 230.467307 330.843293
2026-03-29 3.000980 17.983632 46.688246 92.781437 157.061173 237.982379 342.906793
2026-04-05 2.379601 16.749258 45.436333 92.267782 158.167676 241.588808 350.168154
2026-04-12 1.852166 15.600188 44.248811 91.793157 159.287498 245.185142 357.397915